Julian
Sayin.
Julian
Sayin.
Ohio State· So· 6'2"· 219 lb
"A veteran's brain in a junior's body. Reads defenses pre-snap like few in college football and gets the ball out before the coverage can turn. He'll save your coaching staff six months of whiteboard work."
He runs Ryan Day's rhythm offense: pre-snap reads, frequent audibles, balanced distribution. On 1st down, he attacks with play-action to a slant or a 12-yard dig. On 2nd & medium, he lives on stick or snag concepts. On 3rd down, he reads zone vs. man at the snap and gets the ball out before his fourth step nearly four out of five times. His sweet spot is between the 20s against zone — his read on a Cover-3 sail concept is one of the best in the country. The struggle? Verticals against man-press. His arm requires an extra half-beat of velocity that he doesn't always have. And in the NFL, that matters.
- 01
Pre-snap Mastery
Changes protection, adjusts routes, identifies the MIKE on almost 80% of snaps. He already plays like a fifth-year QB. In the NFL, that means the playbook is open from day one, without the usual rookie growing pains. You save a full season on the learning curve.
- 02
Anticipation
He lets the ball go before the WR turns his head. The 16-yard out-cut is his signature — he delivers it a half-second before the break and the ball arrives at the sideline on the receiver's fourth step. Few QBs do that consistently in the NFL. That's not an exaggeration.
- 03
Ball Security
A 1.8% Turnover-Worthy Play rate, leading college football. 32 TDs and 5 INTs in 2025. He doesn't force it, he doesn't gamble, he doesn't give it away. He's the type of QB an OC covets when they value possession over a SportsCenter highlight.
- 04
Pocket Integrity
Climbs the pocket instead of bailing out. Resets his feet under pressure. Completes passes with an A-gap blitz in his face. That's what separates starters from backups in the modern NFL, and he already has it.
- 01
Good Arm, Not Elite
He can make every NFL throw, but he's not Mahomes or Allen. The 22-yard comeback requires a full step-up. If coverage closes the window, he lacks the sheer velocity to force it open. That limits his upside against fast-closing Cover-2 defenses. It's a fact worth acknowledging.
- 02
Average Frame
6'1", 200. It's not the frame of an Allen or a Burrow. He can take hits, yes, but five years into an NFL career, the question of whether he can withstand that pounding without losing explosiveness is legitimate, not just paranoia.
- 03
Limited Off-Script Ability
He doesn't extend plays with his legs. When the pocket completely collapses, his off-script production is mediocre. He needs a decent O-line to survive — and you don't always get that in the NFL.
- 04
Inconsistent Deep Ball
A 41% completion rate on throws of 40+ yards. He loses timing when there's safety help over the top. The top-15 tier of NFL QBs demands 45-50% on those, and Julian has work to do there.
Loading seasons…
The most likely outcome: an immediate NFL starter with a high floor. A top-15 QB who commits few errors and operates a rhythm-based offense, excelling at both the quick game and methodical 10-play drives.
Same quick processing, same pre-snap IQ, same rhythm in the quick game. If his arm talent ticks up a grade, that's where he is. And that extra grade is on the table; it’s not a stretch.
If he doesn't overcome his vertical arm limitations, his ceiling is a solid starter who throws 22-28 TDs a year and needs elite weapons around him. He's serviceable, not a Pro Bowler.
West Coast / Shanahan tree with heavy play-action and quick game. Any system that values rhythm and processing over raw arm talent.
Shanahan/LaFleur/McDaniel tree. Best fit with great route-runners (Jefferson, Olave) rather than pure burners. Requires a top-15 O-line — non-negotiable.
- Giants#3
- Browns#2
- Saints#4
- Raiders#6
Calculated: team's projected pick × position of need
- NFL Ceiling Arm Talent
If his arm strength doesn't tick up a grade, his ceiling is capped as a top-15 QB. Functional but not elite, and the league punishes that gap.
- Sample Size
Only one full year as a starter. Was surrounded by elite Ohio State talent — what happens with an average O-line and weapons?
- Frame/Durability
200 lbs is light for a QB who will live in the pocket. His medicals are clean, but the 10-year projection for NFL durability is uncertain.
He's either QB1 or QB2 in the 2027 class, depending on how his arm talent looks at the combine. If a franchise is looking for an immediate starter with an extremely high floor and NFL-ready processing, this is the pick. His ceiling is below that of a young Mahomes — but his floor is 15 years as a competent starter with low turnover risk. For a 'win-now' team with good weapons (Vikings, Saints), the match is perfect. For rebuilding teams that need a higher ceiling, there are other names with more explosive arm talent. I wouldn't shy away from this pick.
RAS · Relative Athletic Score
Kent Lee Platte methodology · ras.football
/ Combine Feb '27 · Pro days Mar '27
Julian's RAS will publish once the official testing drops.
The Relative Athletic Score needs the 40, vertical, broad jump, shuttle and 3-cone — numbers that don't exist until the NFL Combine or pro day. Until then we grade the QB on percentiles vs. his positional cohort (see athletic radar below).
— — — mediana posicional (p50)
- 40 yardas
- 4.78sp50
- Vertical
- —in
- Broad jump
- —in
- Three-cone
- —s
- Shuttle
- —s
- Bench
- —rep
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