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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2026R6 · #191
WR· Round 6

Josh
Cameron.

Josh Cameron
Sickos Grade
46/100

Baylor official athletic logoBaylor

Jacksonville Jaguars NFL team logoR6 · #191 · Jacksonville Jaguars

"Volume slot target and legitimate punt returner who carried Baylor's passing-down offense for two years — the athletic profile, not the production, is what pushed him to day three."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Plays as a volume slot or flanker who exhibits a low, balanced release to navigate through traffic on slants and shallow crossers. He uses tempo and varying speeds to sell the vertical stem, separating on timing and body position. At the catch point, he plays bigger than his frame, adjusting late to off-target balls with strong hands away from his body. After the catch, he is a north-south runner who breaks arm tackles and follows blockers with vision.

On punt returns, he demonstrates the same instinctive vision. His production is concentrated inside the numbers. He consistently handles a significant share of his offense's passing-down usage, remaining productive even when defenses focused on him.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

His ability to work inside the numbers and absorb targets aligns well with a West Coast timing or spread RPO passing game that prioritizes quick, high-percentage throws from the slot.

Slot WRPunt ReturnerFlanker
Best role

Year 1 he's the punt returner and immediate depth in the slot, with a ceiling as a reliable chain-moving slot receiver.

Wrong fit

He would struggle in a vertical Air Raid system that requires receivers to consistently win deep and create separation with pure speed.

A coachable, volume slot receiver whose special teams value provides an immediate path to the roster while his route detail continues to develop.

03Film room

Josh Cameron (Baylor) — Full 2025 Highlights

Full senior-season cutup: slot volume, contested catches over the middle and red-area finishes.

Josh Cameron Baylor Highlights | NFL Prospect Tape

Prospect-tape edit focused on route tempo, hands away from the frame and yards after contact.

Josh Cameron (Baylor) — Full 2024 Highlights

Breakout junior year, including the punt-return work that carries most of his special-teams value.

04The evaluation

Josh Cameron projects as a high-volume slot receiver with proven special teams ability. A team is investing in a player who consistently served as his college offense's primary target over his final two seasons, demonstrating reliability in crucial situations. His fit is primarily on the interior, excelling at quick-game concepts and contested catches over the middle.

Cameron's collegiate career at Baylor showed a clear development arc, culminating in back-to-back productive seasons of 52-754-10 and 69-872-9 as the team's top option. He absorbed 17.9% of Baylor's passing-down usage in 2025, operating predominantly in the middle of the field against committed coverages. He also showcased significant value as a punt returner, averaging 20.7 yards per return in 2024.

Evaluators noted his non-explosive athletic profile, which limits his deep threat capabilities and pure separation ability, contributing to a consensus that placed him in the mid-to-late rounds. Ball security was also a concern, with four fumbles in his final season. Jacksonville ultimately selected him at pick 191, seeing him as a depth option for slot duties and a contributor on special teams.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Money-down slot target

    Baylor ran its passing-down offense through him in 2025, absorbing 17.9% of the team's dropback usage without production cratering.

  2. 02

    Hands away from the frame

    plucks off-target throws cleanly and adjusts late over the middle, catching 69 passes in 2025 on a heavy diet of contested targets.

  3. 03

    Real punt-return value

    20.7 yards per return in 2024, with 27 career returns, providing a functional job for a bottom-of-the-roster receiver.

  4. 04

    Red-area finisher

    19 receiving touchdowns across his last two seasons, built on late hand timing and willingness to take a hit through the catch.

  5. 05

    Runs through the first tackle

    north-south after the catch with the balance to break an arm tackle and vision to follow blocking, turning short crossers into first downs.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Not a vertical threat

    his career yards-per-catch fell to 12.6 in 2025 and the tape shows a receiver who rarely stacks corners.

  2. 02

    Separation is timing, not twitch

    he wins with body position and tempo rather than a sudden break, which is challenging against NFL nickels.

  3. 03

    Ball security

    four fumbles in 2025 with three lost, several of them after the catch and on returns, a significant flag for a projected returner.

  4. 04

    Limited outside profile

    almost all of his 2025 volume came inside the numbers, with no proven ability to beat press coverage on the boundary.

08College production
YrTeamGRecYdsTD
2022Baylor11283860
2023Baylor11212240
2024Baylor135275410
2025Baylor12698729
Career47170223619

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Efficiency, 2025
average
Predicted Points Added / play
+0.453
percentile at position
51%
PPA · pass
+0.453
CFBD PPA — 0 = league-average play
/ Usage share, 2025
10.4%of team plays
92 percentile at positionBaylor
Pass plays · 17.9%Run plays · 0.0%Third down · 13.5%Passing downs · 14.1%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
Share of production2025 · Baylor
9%of the offense's positive expected-points output
Production share9%
Snap share10%
  • Sawyer RobertsonQB29%
  • Ashtyn HawkinsWR9%
  • Michael TriggTE8%

#2 of 16 tracked contributors · Production leaned on volume · Offense explosiveness 1.28 (p68) · CFBD — usage x PPA per tracked player

09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Britain CoveyPHI

A returner first who takes 10-15 offensive snaps a game in slot-heavy packages and converts a handful of third downs a year.

/ Ceiling
Trent SherfieldMIN

The ceiling is a decade-long roster survivor who earns snaps as a fourth receiver because the special-teams and blocking value never lapses.

/ Floor
Tyler SneadTEN

The floor is a practice-squad shuttle: productive college slot who never wins the return job outright and loses the roster spot to a younger athlete.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
Career AV

Jacksonville took him at 191 as a slot-and-special-teams bet rather than a receiver-room investment. The realistic path to a helmet is the third phase: he arrives with 45 career punt returns and a 20.7-yard average in 2024, and a rookie who can field a punt cleanly and win a gunner rep buys himself the offensive snaps later. On offense the fit is the interior quick-game role — slants, shallow crossers and option routes on third down, the same assignments that produced 69 catches in his final Baylor season — not a boundary job that would ask him to release against press and threaten the top of a coverage. Ball security is the honest gate: three lost fumbles as a senior is the sort of detail that decides August roster math for a sixth-round returner.

The evaluation that got him here is straightforward and still unproven. He was the most-targeted player on his college offense in back-to-back years and handled a workload no defense could ignore, which is real evidence of hands, toughness and reliability over the middle. What the tape never answered is whether a receiver who separates on timing rather than burst can keep that volume against NFL nickels. If the return job sticks and the route detail sharpens, this looks like a five-year roster player found in the sixth round. If it does not, it will read as a productive college slot whose production was a function of being the only option.

Draft Sickos · retrospective scouting profile