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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2026Consensus #076
QB· Round 3

Drew
Allar.

Drew Allar
Sickos Grade
63.8/100
Pre-draft #76

Penn State official athletic logoPenn State· 6'5"· 235 lb

/ Recruiting profile
★★★★★stars.9852
National · #32HS class · 2022
Medina, OH
247Sports composite via CFBD

"Pro-style pocket QB with premium size, a live arm and pristine intermediate placement — but middling middle-of-field processing and shrinking mobility under duress capped the first-round conviction Penn State fans expected."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Rhythm-and-timing dropback quarterback with a wide, quiet base and clean throwing platform, winning early as a first-read distributor. He delivers tight-window curls, digs, and back-shoulder fades with layered touch and repeatable ball placement between the hashes. His arm generates driven fastballs on 15-to-19-yard outs, easy velocity on deep comebacks, and soft over-the-shoulder balls down the seam.

His footwork ties to rhythm progression, but slows when the primary read is covered, and his eyes drop before the second window opens. Not a natural creator; off-schedule reps appear mechanical, as he tends to drift rather than climb. Best performance occurs within play-action, boot-game, and pro-style rhythm passing where structure prevails.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

Pro-style rhythm passing system that emphasizes timing, ball placement, and full-field progression reads.

Under-center QBPlay-action QBDropback PasserPocket Quarterback
Best role

Year 1 backup and developmental pocket passer with the ceiling to become a high-level NFL starter in a system that values rhythm and structure.

Wrong fit

An Air Raid or an improvisational spread RPO offense that demands extensive off-script playmaking, dynamic rushing ability, and rapid, natural second-window processing.

Allar thrives in a structured, pro-style offense, where his rhythmic distribution, anticipatory throwing, and elite ball security can flourish without relying on extensive creative mobility or improv outside the pocket.

03Film room

Drew Allar Penn State Career Highlights

Full career-highlight reel released after Allar was drafted No. 76 overall to the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Penn State vs. No. 1 Ohio State (2024) Highlights

Signature big-stage tape — Allar vs. Ohio State in the game that framed the middle-of-field processing question.

Drew Allar 2026 NFL Scouting Combine Workout

Full on-field throwing workout from Indianapolis — rhythm concepts, seam shots and boot-action reps.

04The evaluation

Allar projects as a developmental pocket passer whose pro-style operator traits and elite ball security make him a long-term investment. His rare 6'5"/235 frame, combined with a live arm and anticipation on rhythm concepts, provides a foundation for a franchise seeking a quarterback who can excel in structured schemes.

He opened his career with an FBS-record 311 attempts before his first interception and anchored a top-10 offense during a 2024 CFP semifinal run. His usage often highlighted his comfort under center, executing play-action boots and full-field progression concepts. While the 2025 season was cut short by injury, his prior performance showcased a quarterback comfortable operating behind a clean pocket in competitive environments, including the 2024 CFP semifinal run.

Evaluators noted flags around his middle-of-field processing lag and adverse-play mobility, particularly in big games, resulting in a pre-draft consensus in the QB2/QB3 tier. Despite a projected top-15 talent profile earlier in his career, an injury and coaching volatility contributed to his selection by Pittsburgh in Round 3, pick 76, as a traits-based swing for a developmental role.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Prototype pocket-passer frame

    Rare 6'5"/235 build with a firm base, wide throwing platform and the durability to absorb pressure without altering release mechanics or ball flight.

  2. 02

    Live arm with velocity control

    Effortless zip on 15-to-19-yard digs and outs; layers touch on seam shots and back-shoulder fades without needing to overthrow into tight windows.

  3. 03

    Elite ball-security profile

    Opened his career with an FBS-record 311 attempts before his first interception; 13 career INTs across 45 games is among the safest résumés of the class.

  4. 04

    Pro-style operator IQ

    Comfortable under center, executes play-action boots, seven-step drops and full-field progression concepts; scheme fit is one of the cleanest in the class.

  5. 05

    Anticipation on rhythm concepts

    Throws digs, curls and back-shoulders on time; ball comes out before the break when the primary is on schedule, letting receivers work after the catch.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Middle-of-field processing lag

    Eyes drop and internal clock speeds up when the first read is covered; second-window reps looked mechanical rather than instinctive.

  2. 02

    Adverse-play mobility

    Not a creator off structure; drifts backward instead of climbing the pocket, and rushing production reflects a designed-run profile only.

  3. 03

    Big-game trigger question

    0–3 as a starter against Ohio State with a combined 33 points scored; 2025 overtime interception against Oregon fed negative narrative.

  4. 04

    Senior-year injury and lost reps

    Season-ending injury after six games (1,100 yds, 8/3) cost him development, another swing at Ohio State, and Combine drill work.

08College production
YrTeamGCmpAttYdsTDInt
2022Penn State10356034440
2023Penn State132333882631252
2024Penn State162623943327248
2025Penn State6103159110083
Career45633100174026113

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Efficiency, 2025
average
Predicted Points Added / play
+0.248
percentile at position
66%
PPA · pass
+0.189
PPA · rush
+0.520
CFBD PPA — 0 = league-average play
/ Usage share, 2025
51.8%of team plays
87 percentile at positionPenn State
Pass plays · 93.9%Run plays · 16.9%Third down · 66.3%Passing downs · 68.5%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
Share of production2025 · Penn State
21%of the offense's positive expected-points output
Production share21%
Snap share52%
  • Ethan GrunkemeyerQB12%
  • Kaytron AllenRB9%
  • Joey SchlafferTE9%

#1 of 14 tracked contributors · Production leaned on volume · Offense explosiveness 1.20 (p26) · CFBD — usage x PPA per tracked player

09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Josh FreemanTB

Likely outcome: a large-framed, high-variance starter with real vertical arm talent and stretches of top-half play, but enough processing lag and pocket-management volatility to keep the career uneven.

/ Ceiling
Ben RoethlisbergerPIT

Ceiling case: a big pocket passer who can punish intermediate windows, play through contact and become the kind of AFC North distributor whose size and arm strength define the offense.

/ Floor
Brock OsweilerDEN

Floor case: prototype size and arm strength earn extended chances, yet delayed second-window throws and limited off-script feel leave him closer to a bridge or backup than a franchise answer.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
Career AV

Pre-draft context: Allar's college arc read like a scouting parable. The nation's No. 1 pro-style pocket QB in 2022 walked into Happy Valley behind Sean Clifford, took over in 2023 as a controlled game manager (233-of-389, 2,631 yards, 25 TD, 2 INT), and set an FBS record by not throwing an interception on his first 311 attempts. The 2024 offense broke through — a top-10 unit, a Big Ten Championship game appearance, and a CFP semifinal berth — with Allar posting 262-of-394 passing for 3,327 yards and 24 TDs. He entered 2025 as Penn State's all-time completion-percentage leader, then the injury-shortened senior year reduced the sample to six games and pushed the evaluation back toward projection.

NFL fit — Pittsburgh: The Steelers' fit should be described by role, not by unverified receiver-room names. Allar makes sense as a developmental pocket passer for a franchise that has historically valued size, vertical arm strength, play-action rhythm and AFC North toughness. The clean version of the fit is simple: give him a year to speed up second-window answers, pair him with a stable protection plan, and build the passing game around under-center play-action, deep crossers, boundary comebacks and high-low reads that let him throw on time. Round 3 capital keeps the pressure honest — he does not need to be crowned immediately, but the arm and frame give the team a real long-range starter swing.

Retrospective: The senior-year injury and Penn State's coaching turbulence combined to knock a projected top-15 talent into the third round, which is exactly where team-fit swings live. If Allar's next-window processing catches up to his arm and pro-style operator polish, this is a bargain that can stabilize a physical offense for years. If the Ohio State tape — the shrinking pocket, the second-read hesitation — was the truer signal, Pittsburgh has a backup-with-upside on a rookie deal. Year 1 is development; the real referendum is whether the processing jump arrives before the tool package ages into excuse-making.

Draft Sickos · retrospective scouting profile