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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2026Consensus #002
OLB· Round 1

David
Bailey.

David Bailey
Sickos Grade
94.6/100
Pre-draft #2

Texas Tech official athletic logoTexas Tech· 6'4"· 251 lb· 4.50s 40

/ Recruiting profile
★★★★stars.9718
National · #66HS class · 2022
Mater Dei, CA
247Sports composite via CFBD

"A 6'3", 240-pound Stanford-to-Texas Tech EDGE who paired three years of Power-Four production with a Big 12 breakout — a bendy speed rusher with a plus first step and a real hand plan who locked into the top-five conversation and went No. 2 overall."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Linemen align as wide-9 or five-technique ends, occasionally taking standup snaps as a rush linebacker. They demonstrate a quick first step combined with loose ankles and low pad level, allowing effective cornering of the arc without slowing. When offensive tackles set vertically, they leverage speed into power, converting momentum into a long-arm push to collapse the pocket. Once a step is gained, quarterbacks rarely escape their closing speed.

Hand usage is sophisticated, incorporating an inside chop-swim and a cross-chop counter. They consistently string together multiple moves rather than relying on initial contact. Against the run, they exhibit better leverage than their frame suggests, maintaining outside contain in trap-and-scrape schemes and flattening down the line on zone concepts.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

The Jets defense leans heavily on a one-gap 4-3 attacking front with a wide-9 alignment for its edge rushers.

Wide-9 DE5-technique DERush OLB
Best role

Bailey projects as an immediate pass-rush specialist in obvious passing situations, with the ceiling to develop into a dominant three-down edge defender by Year 2.

Wrong fit

A 3-4 two-gap scheme would diminish Bailey's value and athleticism considerably, forcing him into a less-natural role.

His explosive first step, bend, and advanced pass-rush plan are perfectly suited for a scheme that prioritizes attacking the backfield and generating pressure off the edge.

03Film room

David Bailey Texas Tech Highlights | 2025 Top Plays

Season-long cutup of Bailey''s top rush wins at Texas Tech.

Texas Tech Football: David Bailey 2025 Highlights

Program-produced reel of Bailey''s Big 12 DPOY campaign.

David Bailey | Highlights | Texas Tech Edge | 2025 Season and NFL Draft Tape

Pre-draft breakdown of Bailey''s pass-rush plan and finishing speed.

04The evaluation

This prospect projects as a premium pass-rushing outside linebacker, offering a team an immediate impact player whose primary role will be to pressure the quarterback. His distinct first-step quickness and advanced pass-rush repertoire suggest he can disrupt plays consistently from day one, serving as a cornerstone piece for a defense built around pressure.

He entered the draft evaluation process with three seasons of Power-Four production, including two apprentice years at Stanford before a starter role in 2024 and a transfer to Texas Tech in 2025. His final collegiate season, where he earned Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year honors, was one of the most productive individual defensive seasons in the Big 12 in a decade. This performance solidified his standing among a deep class of edge defenders.

Evaluator concerns centered on a slightly narrow lower half, a sometimes-giving anchor against power tackles, and the statistical spike of his senior year that invited questions about scheme and competition level. Despite these, his multi-season pressure generation and sophisticated pass-rush plan positioned him as a comfortable top-of-the-board selection. He was ultimately drafted as the second overall pick in the first round by the New York Jets.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    First-step burst

    Times the snap consistently and closes the tackle's kick-slide window before the punch, forcing early hip openings that lead to inside counters and long-arm rush lanes.

  2. 02

    Bend and ankle flexion

    Corners the arc at a lower pad level than most college edges, keeping the outside foot planted and dipping under the tackle's hands without losing balance.

  3. 03

    Hand plan and counters

    Runs an inside chop-swim, cross-chop and long-arm, stringing a second move when the first stalls at the top of the rush.

  4. 04

    Multi-year pressure production

    Stacked three straight seasons of climbing pressure creation across two Power-Four programs, headlined by the Big 12 sack title.

  5. 05

    Closing speed and finish

    Elite chase from the backside on boot and RPO concepts; converts pressures into sacks at a high rate and does not let mobile quarterbacks escape.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Anchor versus power tackles

    Gets walked back a half-yard on true bull rushes when the tackle lands the first punch, and can be washed on down blocks by combo pairs.

  2. 02

    Narrow lower half

    Frame is more speed rusher than base-end, and the mass distribution raises questions about holding up as a full-time three-down piece.

  3. 03

    One-year statistical spike

    The Big 12 sack total sits well above his Stanford baselines, opening a discussion about scheme versus competition level.

  4. 04

    Untested athletic profile

    Declined to run at the combine and pro day testing was uneven, leaving evaluators to project traits from tape rather than confirmed numbers.

07Athletic testing
Height
6'4"
Weight
251 lb
40 yd
4.50s
Vertical
35"
Broad
10'9"
06Athletic profilevs. OLB on Big Board
40VERTBRD3CSHTLBNCH

— — — positional median (p50)

40 yd
4.50sp50
Vertical
35inp50
Broad jump
129inp50
Three-cone
s
Shuttle
s
Bench
rep
08College production
YrTeamGTklSkIntPDFF
2020Boston College1000000
2021Colorado State1110000
2022Stanford10431.5000
2023Stanford10315000
2024Stanford12316000
2025Texas Tech135114.5030
Career6615727030

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Usage share, 2023
5.8%of team plays
30 percentile at positionTexas A&M
Pass plays · 0.6%Run plays · 10.6%Third down · 3.2%Passing downs · 3.9%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Josh UcheChiefs

Sub-package speed rusher who leverages first-step and bend into double-digit sack seasons without being a full base-end anchor.

/ Ceiling
Micah ParsonsCowboys

Slightly heavier but the same bend-and-burst archetype off the edge with counter fluency and a chase gear that turns pressure into sacks.

/ Floor
Andre Carter IIVikings

Long, narrow-framed Power-Four sack producer whose testing gaps and anchor concerns capped him as a rotational rusher rather than a premium starter.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
Career AV

Pre-draft context. Bailey came out of a three-school arc that unusually kept accelerating: a rotational EDGE role at Stanford across 2022 and 2023, a full-time starting job for a Cardinal defense that leaned on him in 2024, and a transfer year at Texas Tech in 2025 that turned into one of the most productive individual defensive seasons in the Big 12 in a decade. Measured at roughly 6'3" and 240 pounds without a combine forty on the board, he made his athletic case with tape — Kansas State and Iowa State in particular showed a first-step and bend combination that scouts flagged as top-of-class. Board consensus had him inside the top ten by early January and locked into the EDGE1 conversation by the end of the pre-draft cycle, with the only genuine debate being whether the one-year sack spike represented a real ceiling shift or a scheme-and-competition adjustment.

NFL fit — New York Jets. New York, sitting at No. 2 after a defense-first organizational shift, prioritized adding a premium pass-rush piece to pair with the young pieces already on the roster. Bailey fits the archetype sought by the organization — a wide-9 speed rusher who can flex into a standup role on obvious passing downs and does not need to be schemed free to affect the quarterback. Early-camp usage points to a rotational base-down role with a heavier pass-rush snap share than a typical rookie EDGE, and those guiding the team have publicly framed him as a franchise cornerstone rather than a project.

Retrospective. Bailey has not yet logged the professional volume that would settle the debate about anchor and scheme fit, but the developmental plan and rotational usage point to the kind of controlled ramp that historically works for speed rushers of his frame. The floor case rests on the pass-rush plan and closing speed; the ceiling case rests on whether the anchor and inside counters translate against professional tackles.

Draft Sickos · retrospective scouting profile