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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2025Consensus #034
WR· Round 2

Jayden
Higgins.

Jayden Higgins
Sickos Grade
71.9/100
Pre-draft #34

Iowa State official athletic logoIowa State· 6'4"· 214 lb· 4.47s 40

R2 · #34 · Houston Texans

"A catch-point technician who plays the boundary like a power forward — a long-striding X receiver who stacks corners on vertical stems, high-points the football away from his frame and turns contested throws into routine completions."Pre-draft read

01Play style

A true X receiver who lives on the outside third and makes his money above the rim. He releases with a patient first stride and a swipe-and-rip counter that keeps the stem on track against press, then stacks corners by the top of the route instead of fighting them at the catch point.

The hands are the separator. He plucks away from his frame, adjusts late to back-shoulder and fade throws, and tracks the ball over either shoulder with rare body control. Underneath he sells vertical tempo before snapping down on comebacks and digs, using late hands to fend off grabby corners. He is a strider, not a twitch mover, so the space he creates comes from tempo and timing rather than burst.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

A play-action heavy West Coast/wide-zone passing game that isolates an X receiver into single-high looks and rewards back-shoulder and vertical contested throws.

X-receiverBoundaryBackside isoRed-zone fadeBig slot vs zone
Best role

Year 1: boundary X in three-wide, red-zone and third-down target opposite a primary separator. Ceiling: high-volume outside starter who anchors the perimeter and converts contested targets at a plus rate.

Wrong fit

A quick-game, option-route Air Raid that asks him to win from the slot on horizontal breaks in under two seconds — his tempo-based separation and long strides get erased there.

Value is maximized when the quarterback trusts him to win the 50/50 rather than needing him to be schemed open.

03Film room

Jayden Higgins (Iowa State) — Full 2024 Highlights

Full-season cut of his 87-catch, 1,183-yard senior year: press releases, back-shoulder wins and red-zone fades.

Jayden Higgins — Iowa State 2024 Highlights | 2025 NFL Draft

Draft-cut reel emphasizing catch-point control, contested grabs and vertical stem work on the boundary.

Jayden Higgins WR Iowa State — 2025 NFL Draft Prospect Review

All-22 breakdown of release package, route tempo and the separation questions that defined his evaluation.

04The evaluation

The projection was never about creating space; it was about owning it. Higgins is a boundary starter who wins the top of the route and the last two yards of it, and the tape pointed one direction: an outside receiver you build a red-zone and third-down plan around, not a manufactured-touch weapon. The 4.47 at 6-4 only confirmed it: corners could not sit on the comeback.

What sold the evaluation was how his role survived a level jump. He arrived from Eastern Kentucky as an FCS volume target and immediately became Iowa State's outside answer on early downs and in the low red zone, then held it as a senior alongside another future draft pick, Jaylin Noel, without either bleeding the other. Rocco Becht fed him contested, timing-based looks on third down and at the goal line — the exact diet he would see in the NFL — and Higgins finished an AP third-team All-American on it.

Two flags shaped the grade. He was a fifth-year receiver whose cleanest tape came against non-elite coverage, and his separation was tempo- and length-driven, which ages faster than suddenness. Buying him meant buying a defined role with a high floor, not a ceiling play. Consensus landed him late round one to early round two, and Houston took him 34th to install a true X opposite Nico Collins.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Catch point dominance

    Times his leap late, extends through contact and plucks the ball at its highest point; he converted an outsized share of contested targets in both the Missouri Valley and the Big 12 without needing separation.

  2. 02

    Length and catch radius

    6-4 1/8 with 33 1/8-inch arms and an 80-inch wingspan turns imperfect throws into completions on fades, back-shoulders and sideline comebacks that most receivers cannot reach.

  3. 03

    Release package versus press

    A patient first step with a swipe-and-rip counter clears jams cleanly and keeps his stem on schedule instead of getting rerouted into the boundary the way many big receivers are.

  4. 04

    Ball tracking over either shoulder

    Rare body control and late adjustment deep; he flips his hips mid-flight, locates over the far shoulder and finishes without losing balance or stride.

  5. 05

    Red-zone weaponry

    Height, a 39-inch vertical and pluck-strong hands made him a designed target inside the 20, where he scored 15 touchdowns across two Iowa State seasons on fades and slants.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Separation is manufactured, not explosive

    He wins with tempo, length and hand usage rather than sudden burst, so against physical NFL corners his margin at the top of the route shrinks to nearly nothing.

  2. 02

    Long strider off the line

    Build-up speed means he needs runway; quick-game concepts and option routes that demand instant separation inside two seconds are not where his skill set plays.

  3. 03

    Age and level of competition

    A fifth-year senior who turned 22 before his final season, with roughly half his career production coming at the FCS level, which compresses the projected developmental runway.

  4. 04

    Limited yards after catch

    He rarely made the first man miss in space; production came from the catch itself rather than what followed, capping the explosive-play ceiling on shorter throws.

07Athletic testing
Height
6'4"
Weight
214 lb
40 yd
4.47s
Vertical
39"
Broad
10'8"
3-cone
7.05s
Shuttle
4.28s
Bench
16
06Athletic profilevs. WR on Big Board
40VERTBRD3CSHTLBNCH

— — — positional median (p50)

40 yd
4.47sp50
Vertical
39inp50
Broad jump
128inp50
Three-cone
7.05sp50
Shuttle
4.28sp50
Bench
16repp50
08College production
YrTeamGRecYdsTD
2022Eastern Kentucky125875710
2023Iowa State13539836
2024Iowa State138711839
Career38198292325

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Efficiency, 2024
average
Predicted Points Added / play
+1.135
percentile at position
68%
PPA · pass
+1.135
CFBD PPA — 0 = league-average play
/ Usage share, 2024
10.6%of team plays
98 percentile at positionIowa State
Pass plays · 21.7%Run plays · 0.0%Third down · 14.1%Passing downs · 17.1%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
Share of production2024 · Iowa State
15%of the offense's positive expected-points output
Production share15%
Snap share11%
  • Rocco BechtQB24%
  • Jaylin NoelWR11%
  • Brett EskildsenWR8%

#2 of 19 tracked contributors · Produced well above his snap share · Offense explosiveness 1.38 (p95) · CFBD — usage x PPA per tracked player

Honors

  • AP Third-team All-American (2024)
  • Second-team All-Big 12 (2024)
  • Iowa State bowl record: 214 receiving yards, 2023 Liberty Bowl
  • 1,000-yard receiver in 2024 (1,183)
09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Josh PalmerBUF

Reliable outside starter whose value is catch radius and red-zone work rather than separation.

/ Ceiling
Michael Pittman Jr.IND

Big-bodied boundary X who becomes a 100-target volume starter on contested throws and chain-movers.

/ Floor
Alec PierceIND

Vertical and jump-ball specialist whose usage narrows to situational deep and fade targets.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
0
Career AV

Houston drafted Higgins 34th overall to give C.J. Stroud a true X opposite Nico Collins, then doubled down on the position later in the same draft. The rookie year validated the projection more than the doubts: he appeared in all 17 games, started 10, and finished with 41 receptions for 525 yards and six touchdowns on a 12-5 Texans team that won its way into the divisional round before losing 28-16 to New England. His first career score came in Week 4, a 24-yard strike from Stroud in a 26-0 shutout of Tennessee, and the touchdown total — six on modest volume — showed exactly where his value lives: the red zone and the boundary fade. PFF graded him 68.4 overall, mid-pack among qualifying receivers, with the six scores ranking inside the top 20 at the position. The separation flag remains real; his 12.8 yards per catch reflects a target diet of contested, situational throws rather than manufactured space. But as a rookie second-rounder who started more than half the season for a playoff offense and produced in scoring position, the early return reads like a hit in progress rather than a reach.

Draft Sickos · retrospective scouting profile