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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2025Consensus #025
QB· Round 1

Jaxson
Dart.

Jaxson Dart
Sickos Grade
79.1/100
Pre-draft #25

Ole Miss official athletic logoOle Miss· 6'2"· 223 lb

/ Recruiting profile
★★★★stars.9693
National · #69HS class · 2021
Corner Canyon, UT
247Sports composite via CFBD
R1 · #25 · New York Giants

"A four-year starter who plays the position on a fast clock and then abandons the clock entirely when the pocket breaks, Dart entered the league as a Bo Nix-style operator: an accurate, tough, schedule-friendly starter whose ceiling depends on how much of the improvisation survives against NFL windows."Pre-draft read

01Play style

He operates primarily as a gun-spread starter, taking wide splits. He works to get the ball out on time when the initial read is open, demonstrating the pocket courage to endure hits while completing the throw. His arm talent is a primary asset, generating velocity on boundary digs and comebacks, and he possesses a loose upper body that allows him to adjust his arm slot when under pressure.

While his feet are compact in rhythm, they become more active when the passing picture is unclear, and his eyes tend to drop before his back foot resets. His off-schedule creation is a secondary trait; he purposefully escapes containment and runs to convert downs. When facing pressure, he prefers to climb the pocket and throw over rushers rather than resetting his platform.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

The Giants' offensive system is a run-heavy play-action attack with significant RPO elements, demanding a quarterback who can efficiently run the offense and create off-script.

Gun-spread QBRPO operatorOff-schedule creator
Best role

He projects as a Year 1 high-upside backup, with the ceiling of a rhythm spread starter who can extend plays.

Wrong fit

A West Coast timing offense, which relies heavily on full-field progressions and tight-window throws over the middle, would nullify his primary strengths.

Dart's arm talent and willingness to attack the boundary align with the system's needs, but his processing speed will be tested without the defined half-field reads of his college scheme.

03Film room

Jaxson Dart 2024 Ole Miss Highlights

Full 2024 reel: boundary velocity, layered deep shots and the scramble conversions that produced the national passer rating title.

Jaxson Dart | 2024 Ole Miss Highlights

Alternate 2024 cut with more full-drive context, useful for tracking his footwork on rhythm throws versus muddied pockets.

Jaxson Dart | 2025 Rookie Highlights

Rookie-year film with the Giants: early-down efficiency, designed keeps and the contact-heavy scramble style carried into the NFL.

04The evaluation

Dart projects as a rhythm spread starter with significant off-schedule creation ability. Teams investing in him are buying a quarterback with a live arm who can extend plays and convert with his legs. His ability to deliver with velocity on the boundary and his willingness to attack intermediate routes on third down, even with safer checkdowns available, underscore his appeal.

He entered the draft with 41 career starts across two programs. He finished as the all-time leading passer at Ole Miss. In 2024, he passed for 4,279 yards, 29 touchdowns, and six interceptions, leading the nation in passer rating and earning the Conerly Trophy. While some evaluators saw a talent whose production was scheme-dependent due to wide splits and predefined half-field reads, believers highlighted his arm talent, experience, and 1,541 career rushing yards that demonstrated decisive scrambling.

Consensus opinion placed him late in the first round due to concerns about post-snap processing against disguised coverages and a contact-seeking scramble style that raised durability questions. Despite these flags, the Giants traded back into the first round to select him with the 25th pick.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Arm talent

    Generates NFL velocity on the boundary dig, comeback, and back-shoulder fade, and can flatten throws from hash to sideline without a full weight transfer.

  2. 02

    Deep-ball touch

    Carried a 10.8-yard average in 2024 by layering post routes and sideline shots with catchable arc, hitting receivers in stride.

  3. 03

    Off-schedule creation

    Escapes contain with a plan, keeps eyes downfield through the first two hitches of a scramble, converting 1,541 career rushing yards.

  4. 04

    Experience volume

    Forty-one career starts across two programs and two systems, including a Peach Bowl win, meaning game plan speed is not new to him.

  5. 05

    Toughness

    A contact-seeking runner and unflinching in a collapsing pocket, willing to absorb hits to complete throws and rápido to reset the huddle.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Scheme scaffolding

    Wide splits and defined half-field reads simplified his picture, lacking repeated evidence of full-field progressions against disguised coverage.

  2. 02

    Middle-of-the-field diet

    Attacked the boundary more often than seams and hooks, leaving throws defining third down in a pro offense underrepresented.

  3. 03

    Base under duress

    Feet become active when the first read is covered, narrowing his platform, causing accuracy to drift high and behind on clean-pocket throws.

  4. 04

    Eye discipline

    Tends to lock onto the initial read too long, allowing college safeties to close on intermediate throws and contributing to 27 career interceptions.

08College production
YrTeamGCmpAttYdsTDInt
2021USC6117189135395
2022Ole Miss1322636129752010
2023Ole Miss132333593364235
2024Ole Miss132763984279296
Career458521307119718126

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Efficiency, 2024
good
Predicted Points Added / play
+0.529
percentile at position
88%
PPA · pass
+0.562
PPA · rush
+0.387
CFBD PPA — 0 = league-average play
/ Usage share, 2024
56.0%of team plays
91 percentile at positionOle Miss
Pass plays · 91.9%Run plays · 21.0%Third down · 60.8%Passing downs · 69.7%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
Share of production2024 · Ole Miss
31%of the offense's positive expected-points output
Production share31%
Snap share56%
  • Tre HarrisWR13%
  • Cayden LeeWR8%
  • Jordan WatkinsWR8%

#1 of 19 tracked contributors · Production leaned on volume · Offense explosiveness 1.36 (p90) · CFBD — usage x PPA per tracked player

Honors

  • NCAA FBS passer rating leader (2024, 180.7)
  • Conerly Trophy as Mississippi's top college player (2024)
  • First-team All-SEC (2024)
  • Ole Miss all-time leading passer, surpassing Eli Manning
  • Peach Bowl champion and back-to-back 10-win seasons (2023, 2024)
09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Bo NixDenver Broncos

A tough, experienced starter who lives on structure and manufactures a handful of drives a game with his legs, winning games without carrying the roster.

/ Ceiling
Jared GoffDetroit Lions

The outcome if the processing catches up to the arm: a rhythm passer who plays on time, punishes soft coverage from the pocket and runs an offense at a top-ten level.

/ Floor
Will LevisTennessee Titans

The risk if the eyes never settle: arm talent that produces highlights and turnovers in the same quarter, and a hit-absorbing style that shortens seasons.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
0
Career AV

The Giants did not draft Jaxson Dart to sit for two years, and the 2025 season proved it. He opened as Russell Wilson's backup, took the job in Week 4 after an 0-3 start, and beat an undefeated Chargers team in his first start with a conservative 13-of-20 line and a rushing touchdown. Two weeks later he beat the defending champion Eagles by completing 17 of 25 and running 13 times for 58 yards, and he became the first quarterback since Patrick Mahomes to lead opening-drive touchdowns in each of his first three career starts. The full-season numbers were the numbers of a rookie on a bad roster: 14 games, 12 starts, 216-of-339 for 2,272 yards, 15 touchdowns against five interceptions, a 91.7 rating and a 4-8 record as a starter. The interception restraint was the encouraging part. The 6.7 yards per attempt was the flag, and it traced directly back to the pre-draft concern about the middle of the field: in a pro offense with fewer built-in layups, the intermediate throws that were optional at Ole Miss became mandatory, and he took the checkdown more often than the seam.

The rushing production told the other half of the story. He ran for 487 yards and nine touchdowns, a genuine weapon on the goal line and on third-and-short, and he did it exactly the way the college tape suggested he would: seeking contact, finishing forward, absorbing hits a franchise quarterback should be sliding away from. That style cost him. A concussion against the Bears in Week 10 ended his day and two more games, and by November the organization was publicly asking him to protect himself after multiple concussion evaluations dating to the preseason. That is the tension that will define his career. The arm plays, the toughness has already bought him a locker room, and the early-drive scripting suggests he absorbs a game plan quickly. Whether he becomes a top-twelve starter depends on two things that have nothing to do with talent: learning to work the middle of the field on time against disguised coverage, and learning to be on the field in December.

Draft Sickos · retrospective scouting profile