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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2025R6 · #197
QB· Round 6

Graham
Mertz.

Graham Mertz
Sickos Grade
46.3/100

Florida official athletic logoFlorida· 6'3"· 212 lb

/ Recruiting profile
★★★★stars.9689
National · #65HS class · 2019
Blue Valley North, KS
247Sports composite via CFBD
R6 · #197 · HOU

"Six college seasons across Wisconsin and Florida produced 9,074 yards and a career-defining knee injury, leaving Mertz as a timing-and-accuracy backup whose margin disappears the moment the pocket does."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Mertz operates best on schedule. He takes a clean drop, works the first and second reads in rhythm, and delivers accurate intermediate throws when the platform is stable — the 2023 Florida season, 260 of 357 for 2,878 yards with 20 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, was a genuinely efficient year built on that timing.

Everything gets harder once the picture breaks. He has no escape value whatsoever; his career rushing total is negative, and pressure produces either a checkdown or a hurried throw off his back foot. Arm strength is adequate rather than notable, so deep outside throws require anticipation he does not always have.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

Quick-game, timing-based passing offense with a defined progression and heavy play-action to simplify reads.

Shotgun quick gameUnder-center play-actionEmpty-set rhythm concepts
Best role

Year 1 practice squad or QB3 developmental arm while recovering from the knee injury.

Wrong fit

Offense that relies on off-script creation, quarterback runs or deep boundary throws.

03Film room

Graham Mertz 2022 Season Highlights / Welcome To Florida Gators 🐊

Graham Mertz Florida Highlights

Graham Mertz Florida Highlights

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Timing Throws

    The player is accurate and decisive on timing throws inside the numbers, showing good precision.

  2. 02

    Power-Conference Experience

    He has accumulated six seasons of starting experience in a Power-conference setting.

  3. 03

    Excellent 2023 Efficiency

    In 2023, he completed 72.8% of his passes with a 20-to-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

  4. 04

    Understands Protections

    The player understands protections and consistently gets the offense into good plays pre-snap.

  5. 05

    Prototype Size

    He has prototype size at 6-3, 212 pounds with a clean over-the-top release point.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Limited Mobility

    The player exhibits no mobility, possessing negative career rushing yardage and no scramble value.

  2. 02

    Average Arm Strength

    His arm strength is average, which limits his effectiveness on deep and boundary throws.

  3. 03

    Deteriorates Under Pressure

    Play deteriorates under pressure, leading to checkdowns and off-platform throws.

  4. 04

    Injury and Interceptions

    Missed the end of 2024 with a torn ACL, and 31 career interceptions reflect earlier decision-making issues.

08College production
YrTeamGCmpAttYdsTDInt
2019Wisconsin29107300
2020Wisconsin7118193123895
2021Wisconsin1316928419581011
2022Wisconsin1216428621361910
2023Florida112603572878203
2024Florida5729479162
Career50792122490746431

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Efficiency, 2024
average
Predicted Points Added / play
+0.283
percentile at position
56%
PPA · pass
+0.274
PPA · rush
+0.334
CFBD PPA — 0 = league-average play
/ Usage share, 2024
37.3%of team plays
62 percentile at positionFlorida
Pass plays · 64.5%Run plays · 10.4%Third down · 50.9%Passing downs · 45.3%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
Share of production2024 · Florida
14%of the offense's positive expected-points output
Production share14%
Snap share37%
  • D.J. LagwayQB14%
  • Elijhah BadgerWR10%
  • Chimere DikeWR8%

#1 of 21 tracked contributors · Production leaned on volume · Offense explosiveness 1.22 (p24) · CFBD — usage x PPA per tracked player

09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Sean CliffordGB

Like Clifford, Mertz is a solid, intelligent passer who might lack the elite physical tools to be a starter but can carve out a career as a reliable QB3 or practice squad option.

/ Ceiling
Chad HenneKC

Similar to Henne, Mertz possesses the accuracy and decision-making to be a valuable backup, capable of stepping in for short stretches without derailing an offense.

/ Floor
Jacob EasonIND

Mertz's lack of mobility and high-end arm talent could lead to a career trajectory similar to Eason's, struggling to stick on an active roster long-term.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
Career AV

Selected near the end of the 2025 draft by Houston as a developmental quarterback while recovering from a 2024 knee injury.

Mr. Irrelevant territory, and the price reflects a real evaluation rather than a novelty. Mertz was a five-star recruit whose Wisconsin years were uneven and whose Florida tenure produced one strong season before a torn ACL ended the 2024 campaign after six games.

In hindsight Houston took a low-cost developmental arm with legitimate operational experience — a quarterback who can run a scout team, handle a playbook and survive a spot appearance if the offense stays on schedule.

The absence of any mobility is what keeps the ceiling low. Modern NFL backups are asked to extend plays behind backup offensive lines, and that is precisely the situation Mertz is least equipped for.

Draft Sickos · retrospective scouting profile