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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2025R3 · #98
OL· Round 3

Caleb
Rogers.

Caleb Rogers
Sickos Grade
56/100

Texas Tech official athletic logoTexas Tech

/ Recruiting profile
★★★☆☆stars.8533
National · #1103HS class · 2020
Lake Ridge, TX
247Sports composite via CFBD
R3 · #98 · LVR

"This five-year starting tackle with the versatility to play all five positions projects as a sturdy, high-floor interior lineman, though his limited range could be exploited by NFL-caliber edge rushers."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Five-year Texas Tech starter who took snaps at left tackle, right tackle and both guard spots, and projects as a power-based interior blocker in the NFL. He wins with mass and grip strength: he covers up defenders on angle-drive, base and kick-out blocks, then steers to widen the lane. Heavy hands and a jolting punch stall bull rushers early.

He is solid rather than twitchy — quick enough to hit landmarks in zone and connect on climbs, but his set points shrink against edge speed, which pushed him inside. In pass protection the anchor is the selling point; the recovery quickness is not. The run game is where the tape gets loud, and the four-position flexibility is the trait that keeps him on a roster.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

Gap/power-leaning run game with zone concepts mixed in, working from under center and gun

Right guardLeft guardSwing tackle (emergency)Jumbo sixth OL
Best role

Year 1: swing interior backup who can start on short notice at either guard and cover a tackle spot in a pinch. Ceiling: multi-year starting right guard on a downhill run team that keeps him in phone-booth space.

Wrong fit

A wide-zone-only offense that asks its guards to reach-block 3-techniques and pull to the perimeter on every snap, or any team that needs him to be a true swing tackle taking 30-plus pass sets a game against NFL edge speed.

Value climbs on teams that run heavy personnel and want a guard who can stalemate nose tackles rather than move laterally.

03Film room

Caleb Rogers 2025 NFL Draft Tape | Texas Tech OL

Full pre-draft cut-up of his final Texas Tech season, showing the kick-out and base blocks that define the run-game tape.

Film Breakdown: Caleb Rogers is Being Undervalued in the 2025 NFL Draft

Pre-draft breakdown arguing the interior projection, with reps highlighting his anchor against bull rushers.

Raiders Rookie Caleb Rogers Is An Old-School Mauler | Film Review

Post-draft review of the power profile and how it fits the Raiders' interior line.

04The evaluation

Rogers is the kind of lineman a program builds around without ever building a highlight reel around him. A three-star from Mansfield, Texas, he had the starting left tackle job by the end of his 2020 freshman fall and never let go: 55 starts in 61 games, second-most in program history, at four spots. Team captain as a fifth-year player, back-to-back All-Big 12 recognition in 2023 and 2024, and a Senior Bowl invitation that let evaluators watch him kick inside against better bodies.

The tape reads like the résumé. He is sturdy at the point of attack, feeds combo blocks well, passes off twists without panic, and finishes with an edge. Texas Tech's near-even pass-run split forced him to protect in space more than most Big 12 tackles, and he held up better than the testing suggested. The flag was always range: a 5.10 forty and short-corner sets meant NFL edge speed would find the outside shoulder eventually, and the 2024 move to guard was less an experiment than an admission.

Boards had him as a Day 3 tackle or a Day 2 guard depending on how much a team valued positional flex over ceiling. Las Vegas, rebuilding an interior line, took the flex at 98 — a starter-quality guard with tackle emergency value, which is exactly the sort of pick a third round is for.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Anchor strength

    Sets a firm base and absorbs the bull rush with a stiff punch, rarely giving ground once his hands land inside the frame.

  2. 02

    Positional versatility

    Legitimate starting reps at left tackle, right tackle, left guard and right guard, with center work taken in practice.

  3. 03

    Point-of-attack power

    Covers up and widens defenders on angle-drive, base and kick-out blocks, consistently securing the rush lane.

  4. 04

    Combo-block work

    Feeds defensive tackles cleanly on doubles before climbing, and passes off twists and stunts without losing his spot.

  5. 05

    Availability and toughness

    61 games and 55 starts across five seasons, a team captain who played the bowl game with a Day 2 grade at stake.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Pass-set range

    Creates a short corner and struggles to expand his set points, which is why edge speed forced the move inside.

  2. 02

    Pad level late in reps

    Pads rise and he is slow to refit, allowing defenders to slip the block once the initial punch is beaten.

  3. 03

    Recovery athleticism

    Feet get stuck against stutters and hesitation moves, and he lacks the burst to reset after a false step.

  4. 04

    Ceiling

    Solid rather than explosive tester with an average build for guard; the profile reads dependable starter, not difference maker.

08College production
YrTeamG
2020Texas Tech9
2021Texas Tech13
2022Texas Tech13
2023Texas Tech13
2024Texas Tech13
Career61

Offensive linemen are tracked by games and starts; no counting stats apply.

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Nate DavisTennessee Titans

Solid-not-special starting guard with power at the point and pass-set limits — steady interior play with an occasional loss to quickness.

/ Ceiling
Kevin ZeitlerCincinnati Bengals

Powerful, technically sound right guard who turned pro-ready hands and anchor into a decade of starts — the outcome if Rogers' punch timing keeps improving.

/ Floor
Kendrick GreenPittsburgh Steelers

Versatile college lineman whose lack of recovery athleticism capped him as a swing backup rather than a locked-in starter.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
Career AV

Las Vegas kept him on the shelf early. Rogers was inactive or a healthy scratch for the first twelve weeks of 2025 behind an interior rotation the Raiders kept shuffling, then took over as a starting guard from Week 13 through the finale — six games, six starts, 284 offensive snaps and nine more on special teams. The results were what a third-round guard's first tape usually looks like: an average PFF grade near 59, eleven pressures surrendered including three sacks and three hits, but only one accepted penalty and no games where he looked overmatched physically. The Week 18 upset of Kansas City came with him on the field for every offensive snap.

Judging him now would be premature, but the shape of the career is already visible. He did not win the job in camp, which is a real data point for a pick with 55 college starts, and the pressure numbers say the pass-set concerns followed him from Lubbock. What he did show is that the anchor and the run-game power translate, and that a bad Raiders offense did not swallow him. If the 2026 camp gives him the job outright, the pick looks fine; if he loses it to a veteran, this becomes another reminder that positional flexibility is a floor, not an outcome.

Data note: Offensive linemen are tracked by games and starts; no counting stats apply.

Draft Sickos · retrospective scouting profile