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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2025Consensus #006
RB· Round 1

Ashton
Jeanty.

Ashton Jeanty
Sickos Grade
88.6/100
Pre-draft #6

Boise State official athletic logoBoise State· 5'9"· 211 lb

/ Recruiting profile
★★★☆☆stars.8496
National · #1284HS class · 2022
Lone Star, TX
247Sports composite via CFBD
R1 · #6 · Las Vegas Raiders

"A contact-seeking one-cut back whose balance and leg drive turn losing angles into first downs, the kind of workhorse a coordinator builds a run identity around rather than schemes around."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Operates as the primary ballcarrier from gun and pistol alignments, frequently utilized on inside zone, duo concepts, and wide-zone stretches. His signature trait is contact balance, allowing him to absorb hits without losing pad level and continuously churn his feet through tackles, converting short gains into significant yardage.

He displays short-area burst with a jump-cut that effectively re-angles defenders, enabling him to escape congested interior gaps. His vision remains patient behind blockers, assessing second-level defenders before pressing the crease. As a natural receiver, he tracks the ball over either shoulder and runs option routes from the backfield.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

This player's workhorse tendencies and one-cut style are tailor-made for gap/duo power run game schemes that prioritize interior runs and creating downhill lanes for backfield production.

Workhorse RBInside zoneDuo schemeThird-down back
Best role

Immediate starter as a primary ballcarrier with 15-20 touches per game and a high ceiling as a three-down receiving back capable of 1,000+ yards from scrimmage.

Wrong fit

An Air Raid offense that relies on extensive passing and does not consistently feature a strong run game would minimize his impact.

Jeanty's combination of elite contact balance, tackle-breaking ability, and receiving prowess allows him to thrive in schemes that value a versatile, high-volume back.

03Film room

Ashton Jeanty Is Not Human — 2025 NFL Draft Prospect Film Breakdown

All-22 breakdown of contact balance, jump-cut burst and tackle-breaking volume

Ashton Jeanty Six-Touchdown Game vs Georgia Southern

The 267-yard, six-score 2024 opener that launched his Heisman campaign

Ashton Jeanty RB Boise State — 2025 NFL Draft Prospect Report

Full scouting report covering vision, receiving usage and positional-value debate

04The evaluation

This runner projects as a workhorse back, capable of transforming short-yardage situations into significant gains due to elite contact balance and tackle-breaking ability. His effective jump-cut and receiving skills from the backfield suggest a three-down role, providing value beyond typical downhill rushing. A compact frame at 5-8 1/2 and 211 pounds, combined with a lack of athletic testing data, created a unique evaluation challenge.

He dominated the Mountain West, handling 374 carries in 2024 without missing a start, demonstrating remarkable durability and production. He posted 100-plus rushing yards in every game of his final season, culminating in 2,601 yards and 29 touchdowns. This heavy workload and consistent output came against competition that, while solid, may not fully prepare him for the NFL's defensive fronts. He was a Maxwell and Doak Walker winner and a unanimous All-American.

Evaluators recognized his exceptional tape but debated his draft stock due to positional value concerns and the absence of testing numbers. Despite these flags, his on-field performance led to a consensus as the clear RB1, ultimately resulting in a top-10 selection, with the Las Vegas Raiders drafting him at No. 6.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Contact balance

    Absorbs first contact without stalling, keeping his hips square and feet driving so arm tackles and glancing shots simply do not finish the rep.

  2. 02

    Tackle-breaking volume

    Forced missed tackles at a rate no other back in the class matched, turning routine inside zone carries into explosive plays through pure leg drive.

  3. 03

    Jump-cut burst

    One-step lateral cut resets pursuit angles inside the tackle box, letting him escape muddy interior gaps without gearing down or bouncing wide.

  4. 04

    Workload durability

    Handled 374 carries in 2024 and never missed a start, posting 100-plus rushing yards in every single game of the season without visible late-year decline.

  5. 05

    Receiving value

    Legitimate route runner from the backfield with 43 catches in 2023 alone, tracking the ball naturally and adding third-down value beyond checkdowns.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Frame limits

    At 5-8 1/2 and 211 pounds he lacks the mass of a true short-yardage hammer, and NFL interior traffic compresses his creases faster than college fronts did.

  2. 02

    No testing data

    Declined all athletic testing at the Combine and pro day, leaving evaluators without verified speed or explosion numbers to project his long-speed ceiling.

  3. 03

    Competition tier

    Mountain West defensive fronts gave him consistently soft edges and second-level angles that will not exist against professional run fits.

  4. 04

    Pass protection

    Willing but inconsistent as a blocker, occasionally lunging at rushers and losing anchor against blitzing linebackers who attack his outside shoulder.

08College production
YrTeamGAttYdsTDRecRecYds
2022Boise State14157826714155
2023Boise State1222113511443569
2024Boise State1437426012923138
Career4075247785080862

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Efficiency, 2024
good
Predicted Points Added / play
+0.294
percentile at position
80%
PPA · pass
+0.342
PPA · rush
+0.291
CFBD PPA — 0 = league-average play
/ Usage share, 2024
41.0%of team plays
100 percentile at positionBoise State
Pass plays · 5.4%Run plays · 69.0%Third down · 25.3%Passing downs · 24.6%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
Share of production2024 · Boise State
14%of the offense's positive expected-points output
Production share14%
Snap share41%
  • Maddux MadsenQB23%
  • Cam CamperWR9%
  • Latrell CaplesWR7%

#2 of 21 tracked contributors · Production leaned on volume · Offense explosiveness 1.30 (p67) · CFBD — usage x PPA per tracked player

Honors

  • Maxwell Award (2024)
  • Doak Walker Award (2024)
  • Earl Campbell Tyler Rose Award (2024)
  • Unanimous All-American (2024)
  • Heisman Trophy runner-up (2024)
  • FBS rushing yards leader (2024)
  • 2x Mountain West Offensive Player of the Year (2023, 2024)
09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Jonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts

Compact one-cut runner whose production swings hard with the quality of interior blocking

/ Ceiling
Bijan RobinsonAtlanta Falcons

Three-down volume back with receiving equity and elite contact balance carrying a full offense

/ Floor
Kenneth Walker IIISeattle Seahawks

Explosive creator whose efficiency stays capped by frame and inconsistent run-game structure

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
0
Career AV

Jeanty arrived in Boise as a lightly recruited back who had spent a high school season on a military base in Italy, and he left as the most decorated player in program history. The progression was linear: 821 yards as a freshman splitting work, 1,347 yards and 14 scores as a sophomore while emerging as a genuine receiving weapon, then the 2024 campaign that reframed the entire position in the draft cycle. That year he carried 374 times for 2,601 yards and 29 touchdowns, cleared 100 yards in all 14 games, and opened the season with 267 yards and six touchdowns at Georgia Southern. Boise State's offense finished with 2.4 open-field yards per carry that fall, a number driven less by blocking than by a back who kept turning stopped plays into chunk gains. He won the Maxwell and Doak Walker Awards, was a unanimous All-American, and finished second in Heisman voting.

The pre-draft question was never talent. It was whether a running back listed under 5-9 who declined athletic testing deserved a top-10 selection in a league that had spent a decade devaluing the position. Las Vegas answered at No. 6, and the rookie season that followed was more complicated than the tape promised. He started all 17 games and handled 266 carries, but averaged only 3.7 yards per attempt behind a line that struggled to generate movement, and his rushing production never matched the college volume. The receiving work told a better story: 55 catches for 346 yards and five touchdowns, including a 60-yard score, gave him 1,321 scrimmage yards and a PFWA All-Rookie selection. The Week 4 game against Chicago, three touchdowns including a 60-yard run, and a 188-yard afternoon in Houston in Week 16 showed the player evaluators expected. The verdict remains open. His individual creation numbers held up; the environment around him did not. A second season with better interior blocking will determine whether the positional-value skeptics or the tape were right.

Draft Sickos · retrospective scouting profile