Skip to content
Draft Sickos
Back to the 2024 class
Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2024Consensus #023
WR· Round 1

Brian
Thomas Jr..

BT
Sickos Grade
80.8/100
Pre-draft #23

LSU official athletic logoLSU· 6'3"· 209 lb· 4.33s 40

/ Recruiting profile
★★★★stars.9600
National · #89HS class · 2021
Walker, LA
247Sports composite via CFBD
R1 · #23 · Jacksonville Jaguars

"Seventeen touchdowns on sixty-eight catches is not a quirk of volume; it is what happens when the fastest man on the field, timed at 4.33, is also the tallest one at the catch point."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Outside receiver who lived on the boundary at LSU and won with stride length rather than shake. Thomas eats cushion in three steps and then simply pulls away; 4.33 speed at 6-3 and 209 pounds turned nine routes and post breaks into chunk plays before corners could open their hips.

The secondary trait is catch radius. He plays above the rim in the red zone, high-points through contact and finishes at the catch point, which is how seventeen touchdowns arrived on sixty-eight receptions. Route detail underneath is still developing and he is a willing but unpolished blocker, yet the vertical threat plus the leaping finish is what separates him.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

Vertical play-action offense with a boundary X role — Shanahan-tree shot plays or an Air Raid-influenced spread that isolates him outside the numbers

Boundary XSplit-out ZReduced slot in red zoneMotion vertical from a bunch
Best role

Year 1: immediate deep-shot and red-zone specialist opposite an established possession target. Ceiling: true WR1 who carries a passing game on nine routes, posts and back-shoulder fades.

Wrong fit

A dink-and-dump quick-game system that lives on hitches and screens, or an offense whose quarterback will not throw the deep ball with anticipation — his separation is created before the break, not after it.

Needs a play-caller willing to move him inside on obvious passing downs to dodge press specialists.

03Film room

Brian Thomas Jr. || LSU Tigers Wide Receiver || 2023 Junior Highlights

Full junior-season reel: vertical wins, red-zone high points and post-break separation.

LSU WR Brian Thomas Jr. 2023 Highlights

Boundary releases and deep-ball tracking against SEC coverage.

Brian Thomas Jr. LSU Highlights | No. 23 Overall to Jaguars

Draft-night cutup framing the size-speed profile Jacksonville bought at 23.

04The evaluation

Thomas is a long-levered field-stretcher whose football identity is speed that shows up on tape, not just on a stopwatch. He is built to stress the top of coverage from a boundary alignment, and everything in his game bends toward the vertical plane: releases, stem tempo, ball tracking, finishing over a trailing corner.

Production came late but arrived violently. Two quiet seasons behind Kayshon Boutte, Malik Nabers and Jaray Jenkins gave way to a junior year of sixty-eight catches for 1,177 yards and seventeen touchdowns, the last number leading the country. The flags were about diet and detail rather than talent: a large share of his damage came on straight-line concepts, his release package against physical press was thin, and he disappeared for stretches when defenses bracketed the deep third. Playing opposite Nabers also raised the question of how much of the space was earned.

Boards had him firmly in the first round and generally as the third or fourth receiver off the board in a historically deep class. Jacksonville, needing a vertical answer after trading Calvin Ridley, took the size-speed profile at twenty-three and bet that route craft would follow the traits.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Vertical speed

    4.33 gear at 6-3 that turns a nine route into a two-score swing and forces safeties to bail early.

  2. 02

    Catch radius

    Long arms and real leaping ability let him win above defenders on back-shoulder and fade throws.

  3. 03

    Ball tracking

    Locates the deep ball over either shoulder and adjusts to underthrows without slowing his stride.

  4. 04

    Red-zone finishing

    Seventeen touchdowns as a junior on high-point wins, slants inside the five and jump-ball leverage.

  5. 05

    Run-after-catch burst

    Long strider who hits full speed quickly and outruns pursuit angles once he clears the first tackler.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Route nuance

    Underneath breaks are rounded and his stem tempo is one-note, which limits the intermediate menu early.

  2. 02

    Press physicality

    Thin hand-usage package against jams; strong corners can knock him off the stem and reroute him.

  3. 03

    Contested strength

    Wins with height more than with core power, and gets shrunk by physical corners playing his hands.

  4. 04

    Blocking effort

    Willing on the perimeter but inconsistent with placement and sustain, which limits full-time usage.

07Athletic testing
Height
6'3"
Weight
209 lb
40 yd
4.33s
Vertical
38.5"
Broad
10'6"
Bench
11
06Athletic profilevs. WR on Big Board
40VERTBRD3CSHTLBNCH

— — — positional median (p50)

40 yd
4.33sp50
Vertical
38.5inp50
Broad jump
126inp50
Three-cone
s
Shuttle
s
Bench
11repp50
08College production
YrTeamGRecYdsTD
2021LSU12283592
2022LSU13313615
2023LSU1368117717
Career38127189724

Verified via Sports Reference; season totals sum exactly to the career line. Led FBS in receiving touchdowns in 2023.

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Usage share, 2023
9.6%of team plays
93 percentile at positionLSU
Pass plays · 18.3%Run plays · 0.5%Third down · 8.7%Passing downs · 9.5%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Courtland SuttonDenver Broncos

Big-bodied outside receiver whose output rises and falls with quarterback play and vertical shot volume.

/ Ceiling
Mike EvansTampa Bay Buccaneers

The size-plus-speed boundary X who becomes a perennial 1,000-yard touchdown machine.

/ Floor
Nelson AgholorBaltimore Ravens

Speed piece who never rounds out the route tree and settles into a complementary field-stretcher role.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
0
Career AV

Jacksonville plugged him in immediately and got the best rookie receiving season in franchise history: eighty-seven catches, 1,282 yards and ten touchdowns in seventeen games, sixteen of them starts, and he did most of it as the clear number one after Christian Kirk was hurt. The 2025 season was a different story. A quarterback change, a heavier target diet for other pieces and his own drop issues cut him to forty-eight catches for 707 yards and two scores across fourteen games, and the deep shots that defined the rookie year came far less often.

In hindsight the pick still looks correct, if less linear than year one suggested. The traits are exactly what the board said they were, and the rookie tape confirmed the ceiling. What the evaluation underrated was how dependent that ceiling is on structure: a quarterback who throws with anticipation and a coordinator who builds vertical shots. Given both, he is a WR1; given neither, he is a very fast complementary piece.

Data note: Verified via Sports Reference; season totals sum exactly to the career line. Led FBS in receiving touchdowns in 2023.

Draft Sickos · retrospective scouting profile