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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2023Consensus #013
DE· Round 1

Lukas
Van Ness.

Lukas Van Ness
Sickos Grade
79.4/100
Pre-draft #13

Iowa official athletic logoIowa· 6'5"· 272 lb· 4.58s 40

/ Recruiting profile
★★★☆☆stars.8552
National · #1063HS class · 2020
Barrington, IL
247Sports composite via CFBD
R1 · #13 · Green Bay Packers

"Iowa never started him and he still left as the most physically overwhelming rusher on the field, which is either the best argument for his upside or the reason nobody knows what he is."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Van Ness played as a hybrid interior-edge disruptor in Iowa's four-man front, sliding from a 4i-technique on early downs to a stand-up rusher in sub packages. The trait that jumps is power through contact: he times the snap, gets pads under a tackle's chest and walks blockers into the pocket with a long-arm that collapses the launch point instead of running him around the arc.

The secondary trait is heavy, active hands paired with rare mass. He is a stiffer, linear athlete rather than a bend-and-corner edge, so his run defense leads his rush plan; he sets a hard edge, stacks down blocks and squeezes gaps. The signature is alignment flexibility — the same rush works from a 3-tech as from a wide-5.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

Attacking one-gap four-man front that lets him rush from a 4i or 3-tech on obvious passing downs instead of asking him to win the arc.

4i-technique3-tech rusherBase 5-tech DENASCAR interiorStand-up edge
Best role

Year 1: heavy-rotation power rusher who kicks inside on third down. Ceiling: every-down strongside end who wins with long-arm force.

Wrong fit

A wide-9 speed front that asks him to beat NFL left tackles around the corner with bend he does not have.

His value climbs every time a coordinator moves him closer to the football.

03Film room

Career Highlights: Iowa DL Lukas Van Ness | Iowa Football | 2023 NFL Draft

Iowa DE Lukas Van Ness 2022 Highlights ᴴᴰ

Lukas Van Ness 2022 Highlights | Iowa DL | 2023 NFL Draft Prospect

04The evaluation

Van Ness is a 6-foot-5, 272-pound power rusher whose football identity is force, not finesse. He is a former hockey player who came to the line of scrimmage late, and the tape reflects that: exceptional strength and snap timing layered over a pass rush plan still under construction. He wins with a long-arm, a bull rush and a cross-chop, and he is at his most dangerous inside, where his mass and get-off overwhelm guards who cannot match his first step.

The context is the strangest line on his resume: Van Ness never started a game at Iowa. In two seasons he played 27 games as a rotational piece behind veterans and still produced 69 tackles, 19.0 tackles for loss and 13.0 sacks, plus two blocked kicks in 2022. The flags were obvious — limited ankle flexion, a narrow rush arsenal, and a body of work built entirely on partial snap counts against Big Ten opponents who rarely game-planned for him.

The board read him as a projection with an unusually high floor. Evaluators loved the age, the frame and the untapped reps, and pushed him into the top half of round one on the theory that a full-time role would double the production. Green Bay took him at 13 as a long-term replacement for aging edge depth, betting that the rawness was runway and not a ceiling.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Power conversion

    Long-arms and bull-rushes tackles into the quarterback's lap, turning a good first step into a collapsed pocket rather than a wasted rush.

  2. 02

    Interior flexibility

    Genuinely dangerous from a 3-tech or 4i on passing downs, where his mass and get-off overwhelm guards who cannot mirror his first step.

  3. 03

    Snap timing

    Reads the ball rather than the cadence and fires off the line with rare anticipation for a player with so few career snaps.

  4. 04

    Run defense

    Sets a firm edge, stacks down blocks with strong hands and squeezes interior gaps without giving ground on duo or gap concepts.

  5. 05

    Untapped runway

    Only two seasons of meaningful football and zero career starts, which makes his production per snap far more impressive than the raw totals.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Limited bend

    Stiff through the ankles and hips, so he rarely corners the arc and needs to win with power or an inside counter instead of speed-to-edge.

  2. 02

    Rush plan

    The counter menu is thin; when the long-arm stalls he tends to re-bull rather than string moves together against patient NFL tackles.

  3. 03

    Snap volume

    Never started at Iowa and rotated heavily, leaving real questions about his conditioning and technique over a full every-down workload.

  4. 04

    Pad level

    Plays tall out of a two-point stance and lets tackles into his frame first, which blunts a bull rush that should win far more often.

07Athletic testing
Height
6'5"
Weight
272 lb
40 yd
4.58s
06Athletic profilevs. DE on Big Board
40VERTBRD3CSHTLBNCH

— — — positional median (p50)

40 yd
4.58sp50
Vertical
in
Broad jump
in
Three-cone
s
Shuttle
s
Bench
rep
08College production
YrTeamGTklSkIntPDFF
2021Iowa14337010
2022Iowa13366000
Career276913010

Verified against cfbstats.com game logs; two seasons at Iowa with zero career starts. Season sums match career totals (27 G, 69 tkl, 19.0 TFL, 13.0 sacks). Also blocked two kicks in 2022. Interceptions and fumble recoveries not verified, left null.

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Carlos Basham Jr.Buffalo Bills

Rotational power end whose snap-count upside never fully translated into a consistent every-down pass rush.

/ Ceiling
Michael BrockersLos Angeles Rams

The realistic ceiling: a heavy-handed, five-technique power player who anchors a front and gives you rush value inside.

/ Floor
Marcus DavenportNew Orleans Saints

The floor a first-round toolsy rusher fears: flashes and injuries that keep the production perpetually in the future.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
1
Career AV

Lukas Van Ness played his rookie season as a rotational defensive end for the Green Bay Packers, contributing to their pass rush.

Green Bay used him exactly as advertised and then discovered how long the runway really was. As a rookie in 2023 he played all 17 games in a rotation behind Rashan Gary and Preston Smith and posted 32 tackles and four sacks, mostly on power. In 2024 he again appeared in all 17 games but the production dipped to 33 tackles and three sacks as the counter menu stayed thin. The 2025 season looked like the breakout — coaches and teammates raved about his early form — before a foot injury in October limited him to nine games, 1.5 sacks and three tackles for loss, though he did add a sack and a forced fumble in the wild-card loss at Chicago.

In hindsight, the projection was real but the price was steep. Eight and a half sacks in 43 games is not a top-15 return, yet Green Bay exercised his fifth-year option in April 2026 at roughly $14M guaranteed, then traded Rashan Gary and let Kingsley Enagbare walk to hand him a starting job opposite Micah Parsons. He is still only 25 and the flashes are legitimate. The lesson is the same one his tape told: buying snap-count upside in the top half of round one means paying for three years of development before you know what you have.

Data note: Verified against cfbstats.com game logs; two seasons at Iowa with zero career starts. Season sums match career totals (27 G, 69 tkl, 19.0 TFL, 13.0 sacks). Also blocked two kicks in 2022. Interceptions and fumble recoveries not verified, left null.

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