Skip to content
Draft Sickos
Back to the 2021 class
Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2021R7 · #242
WR· Round 7

Tre
Nixon.

Tre Nixon
Sickos Grade
36.5/100

Central Florida official athletic logoCentral Florida· 6'0"· 187 lb· 4.44s 40

/ Recruiting profile
★★★★stars.9256
National · #178HS class · 2016
Viera, FL
247Sports composite via CFBD
R7 · #242 · NWE

"A 6'0", 187-pound UCF slot with 4.44 speed and elite agility testing that produced a 9.78 RAS, but a shortened injury-hit 2020 and a slot-only profile capped him as a Day 3 developmental Z-slot flyer."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Slot/Z receiver with a lean, wiry frame wins via vertical stems and stacked releases. He exhibits long speed coupled with clean short-area quickness, sinking hips at the top of the stem and snapping out of comebacks and slants. He separates late on deep overs, tracking the ball naturally over both shoulders and attacking it in the air, projecting as a vertical-shot specialist.

Natural hands; attacks the ball at the catch point. Average contested catch win rate. Functional but not diverse release package: wins against off coverage with stem tempo and press with a nod-and-go. Limited counters when physical corners lock hips. Willing but inconsistent blocking effort; average run-strength on stalks. Special teams value as a gunner due to recovery speed.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

The New England Patriots' scheme is an adaptable, multiple-front system that emphasizes disciplined gap control and versatility on both sides of the ball.

Slot WRZ-WRBoundary Slot receiverGunner
Best role

Nixon can immediately contribute as a rotational slot receiver in spread looks and as a core special teamer, with a ceiling as a reliable vertical threat from the slot.

Wrong fit

He would struggle in a run-heavy, pro-style offense that relies on physical receivers to block and win consistently against press coverage on the perimeter.

Nixon's elite athletic profile, particularly his speed and short-area quickness, makes him an intriguing developmental prospect for a team that values versatile route runners and special teams contributors, despite his slot-only projection and injury flags.

03Film room

UCF Football: Tre Nixon showing off skills

Game film cut-up of Tre Nixon's Central Florida tape.

New England Patriots Wide Receiver Tre Nixon - UCF Highlights

Game film cut-up of Tre Nixon's Central Florida tape.

UCF's Tre Nixon Highlights vs Pittsburgh

Game film cut-up of Tre Nixon's Central Florida tape.

04The evaluation

Nixon projects as a developmental vertical-slot receiver with special teams upside, possessing an elite athletic profile for the position. His speed and short-area quickness make him a viable threat to separate on intermediate and deep routes, and his ball tracking indicates potential as a shot play specialist. A team would draft Nixon for his raw athletic traits and project him as a late-round flyer.

He emerged as a full-time starter in Central Florida's up-tempo spread, primarily running vertical and intermediate routes. A shoulder injury in his final season limited his sample, though a productive 2019 season saw him record 49 receptions for 830 yards and seven touchdowns. The injury and a perceived lack of strength against press coverage tempered excitement around his significant athletic testing.

Evaluators sought more contested finishing and diverse release counters. Despite these concerns and a slot-only projection, his elite pro day numbers, including a 4.44 forty-yard dash and 6.81 three-cone, combined to create a 9.78 RAS score that separated him from other Day 3 prospects. He was a consensus seventh-round pick and was selected at pick 242.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Long speed

    Genuine straight-line speed that shows on tape as second-level acceleration on posts and deep overs, forcing safeties into deeper alignments.

  2. 02

    Short-area quickness

    Elite three-cone and shuttle times back up the tape; he sinks his hips cleanly on comebacks and slants.

  3. 03

    Ball tracking

    Tracks the deep ball naturally over both shoulders and attacks it in the air rather than drifting, an inherited slot trait.

  4. 04

    Route craft in space

    Understands leverage against off coverage, uses stem tempo and small head fakes to open cushions, and returns to the quarterback.

  5. 05

    Special-teams gunner value

    Recovery speed and body control on the perimeter give him a genuine core-four projection as a gunner.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Slot-only projection

    Frame and play strength profile as a slot and Z rather than a boundary X, limiting scheme fit for some teams.

  2. 02

    Contested-catch finishing

    Average win rate when defensive backs get their hands into his frame at the catch point; he does not consistently win through contact.

  3. 03

    Injury flag

    Shoulder injury shortened his final college season and shrank the projection sample, adding a durability question.

  4. 04

    Release counters

    Beats off coverage with quickness but has limited counters against a physical press corner who rides his hip through the stem.

07Athletic testing
Height
6'0"
Weight
187 lb
40 yd
4.44s
Vertical
35.5"
Broad
10'5"
3-cone
6.81s
Shuttle
4.27s
Bench
18
Relative Athletic Score
9.78
/10 · official

Relative Athletic Score (Kent Lee Platte) benchmarks combine/pro-day numbers against every measured prospect at the position since 1987. 10.00 is elite; 5.00 is average.

06Athletic profilevs. WR on Big Board
40VERTBRD3CSHTLBNCH

— — — positional median (p50)

40 yd
4.44sp50
Vertical
35.5inp50
Broad jump
125inp50
Three-cone
6.81sp50
Shuttle
4.27sp50
Bench
18repp50
08College production
YrTeamGRecYdsTD
2017Ole Miss101190
2018UCF13405624
2019UCF13498307
2020UCF4182582
Career40108166913

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Usage share, 2020
8.2%of team plays
76 percentile at positionUCF
Pass plays · 15.8%Run plays · 0.0%Third down · 8.8%Passing downs · 8.3%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Marcus KempKC

Athletic Day-3 slot who bounced between rosters as depth and special-teams help — the most honest baseline for a slot-only frame with an injury flag.

/ Ceiling
Marquise GoodwinSF

Elite testing slot/Z with real long speed who found a role as a vertical-shot specialist and gunner, exactly the ceiling case for this frame.

/ Floor
Damarkus LodgeOAK

Traits-first late-round receiver who never converted testing into snaps and cycled through practice squads before falling out of the league.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
Career AV

Pre-draft context. Tre Nixon transferred from Ole Miss to UCF and grew into a full-time starter in the Knights' up-tempo spread, catching a heavy diet of vertical and intermediate routes across three seasons before a 2020 shoulder injury shortened the final tape. Pro-day testing in Orlando produced a 4.44 forty, 35.5-inch vertical, 125-inch broad, 6.81 three-cone, 4.27 shuttle and 18 bench reps at 6'0", 187 pounds — a 9.78 athletic score that flagged an elite slot-and-Z athlete rather than a boundary X. The consensus board slotted him in the seventh-round vertical-slot and special-teams-body tier, with the injury year and slot-only projection as the counterweights to the testing profile.

NFL fit — New England. New England took him at pick 242 to stash behind a receiver room that had struggled for speed for years, betting on the testing profile and the slot-and-gunner floor while a veteran quarterback room and a young Mac Jones acclimated. The plan was straightforward: redshirt the frame, develop the release counters, and see if the vertical speed could earn a shot-play package by year two.

Retrospective. Nixon spent his rookie season on injured reserve after a spring hamstring problem, was waived during the 2022 cycle and cycled through practice squads without producing meaningful regular-season offensive snaps. The pick returns are consistent with the seventh-round baseline shifted down by injury luck — a legitimate athletic-testing profile that never got the runway to convert into an NFL role.

Draft Sickos · retrospective scouting profile