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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2021R4 · #107
RB· Round 4

Michael
Carter.

Michael Carter
Sickos Grade
56.8/100

North Carolina official athletic logoNorth Carolina· 5'7"· 201 lb· 4.50s 40

/ Recruiting profile
★★★☆☆stars.8803
National · #422HS class · 2017
Navarre, FL
247Sports composite via CFBD
R4 · #107 · NYJ

"A 5'8"/201 North Carolina back who split a historic 2020 backfield with Javonte Williams (1,245 yards, 8.0 YPC) — a Round-4 change-of-pace projection where the vision and short-area burst outran real questions about size and every-down volume."Pre-draft read

01Play style

Michael Carter is a compact, one-cut zone runner. He identifies his aiming point, gets north quickly, and presses the line of scrimmage effectively. He sets up second-level defenders with a subtle shoulder tilt and defeats angles with functional speed and above-average lateral agility. Carter runs behind his pads for his size, finishing runs with a hard forward lean. While not a tackle-breaker between the tackles, his best trait is his receiving-back utility.

He demonstrates soft hands, natural route feel, and comfort against linebackers in the flat or on option routes. In pass protection, he understands leverage and engages blitzers with proper technique.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

The ideal fit is a Shanahan outside zone or wide zone rushing attack, prioritizing one-cut runners who can read flow and exploit creases.

One-cut zone RB3rd-down backReceiving specialistTwo-minute drill
Best role

Rotational third-down back who can immediately contribute on passing downs and eventually grow into a 1B back in a committee.

Wrong fit

Gap/duo power run schemes focused on running through tackles, where his lack of size and tackle-breaking ability would be liabilities.

A highly efficient rotational back whose burst and receiving skills are scheme-transcendent, but his contact balance and size limit his projection to an every-down role.

03Film room

North Carolina RB Michael Carter 2020 Highlights

Full 2020 UNC senior-year cutup — every-carry look at vision, burst and receiving-back reps.

Michael Carter Tops 300 Yards Rushing Against Miami

308-yard, two-TD game vs. Miami in 2020 — the signature outing on his pre-draft résumé.

Michael Carter & Javonte Williams Dynamic vs. Virginia Tech

UNC tandem backfield on display against Virginia Tech — Carter zone patience next to Williams contact balance.

04The evaluation

Michael Carter projects as a valuable rotational back, primarily due to his vision, burst, and significant receiving upside. Teams acquire a player who efficiently reads gap integrity and, despite his smaller stature and 6.81 three-cone, demonstrates real second-level acceleration and quick footwork. The immediate value is as a third-down and change-of-pace option, providing reliable hands as a pass-catcher, and a willing blocker.

His usage at North Carolina was a key part of his evaluation; while he produced 1,245 yards at 8.0 yards per carry in 2020, he shared the backfield with a first-round talent, indicating a split workload that was effective. His role highlighted his ability to bend zone plays and find alleys on single cuts, but did not require him to operate as a primary between-the-tackles grinder. His 82 career receptions underscored his legitimate dual-threat profile, which evaluators valued highly.

Concerns regarding his size (5'8", 201 pounds) and history of shared carries meant he was not projected as a bell-cow back, but rather a Day 2/early Day 3 prospect. Evaluators saw a clear role for him, leveraging his production and movement traits, leading to him being drafted in the fourth round, 107th overall, where his receiving ability was seen as a strong complement to an evolving NFL offense.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Vision & tempo

    Reads gap integrity as it happens, presses the line and hits the correct crease without hesitation, bending a zone play back against the flow and finding the alley on a single cut.

  2. 02

    Short-area quickness

    His 6.81 three-cone and 3.98 shuttle translate to tape through subtle jump-cuts inside the tackle box and quick foot-fire through contact.

  3. 03

    Receiving skill set

    82 college receptions with natural hands away from the frame; comfortable on angle routes, flat releases, and wheel concepts, giving him legitimate three-down value.

  4. 04

    Long speed for the frame

    His 4.50 forty and 119-inch broad translated to real second-level burst, with multiple 40-plus-yard runs where he pulled away from angle pursuit.

  5. 05

    Pass-protection understanding

    Willing and technically sound cut-blocker, sets his feet, keeps his eyes on the near-side edge, and understands slide protection rules better than most backs.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Size & contact volume

    A true 5-foot-8, 201 pounds with sub-32-inch arms; there is limited tape of him grinding out three yards on second-and-two against loaded boxes.

  2. 02

    Not a tackle-breaker

    2020 tape showed plenty of first-contact tackles converting into finishes; his broken-tackle rate lagged behind his backfield mate despite similar carry volume.

  3. 03

    Workload questions

    Never carried a full-time ACC bell-cow load; the 156-carry 2020 season represents the ceiling of his college volume.

  4. 04

    Pad level in tight quarters

    Runs a bit tall through the A-gap for his height, which invites shots to the chest limiting the yards-after-contact profile on inside zone concepts.

07Athletic testing
Height
5'7"
Weight
201 lb
40 yd
4.50s
Vertical
34"
Broad
9'11"
3-cone
6.81s
Shuttle
3.98s
Bench
16
Relative Athletic Score
9.17
/10 · official

Relative Athletic Score (Kent Lee Platte) benchmarks combine/pro-day numbers against every measured prospect at the position since 1987. 10.00 is elite; 5.00 is average.

06Athletic profilevs. RB on Big Board
40VERTBRD3CSHTLBNCH

— — — positional median (p50)

40 yd
4.50sp50
Vertical
34inp50
Broad jump
119inp50
Three-cone
6.81sp50
Shuttle
3.98sp50
Bench
16repp50
08College production
YrTeamGAttYdsTDRecRecYds
2017North Carolina1197558811100
2018North Carolina984597225135
2019North Carolina131771003321154
2020North Carolina111561245925267
Career4451434032282656

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

/ Usage share, 2020
23.8%of team plays
89 percentile at positionNorth Carolina
Pass plays · 8.5%Run plays · 36.2%Third down · 11.9%Passing downs · 13.4%
CFBD usage — share of the offense's plays involving the player
09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Kenyan DrakeMIA

Change-of-pace back with real long speed and receiving value, capable of a 900-yard year in the right split but never the featured piece.

/ Ceiling
Austin EkelerLAC

The receiving-back ceiling scouts whispered about: undersized RB who wins on vision, hands and route feel. Reached only in flashes.

/ Floor
J.D. McKissicWAS

Third-down and passing-down specialist role — real NFL job, roughly 500-scrimmage-yard ceiling, no every-down volume.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
Career AV
9

Año 1 (2021) fue el pico: 639 yds rush + 325 recibiendo como back lead tras lesión de Michael Carter II... hasta que Breece Hall llegó en 2022. Relegado a RB2 y luego RB3. Traspasado a ARI mid-2023, cortado tras 2024. Firmó reserve/futures con WAS en 2025 sin garantías. Carrera meteórica en descenso.

**Pre-draft context.** Michael Carter arrived at North Carolina as a three-star recruit from Navarre, Florida and grew into the centerpiece of the revived Tar Heels offense. His 2020 season is the résumé line evaluators kept coming back to: 1,245 rushing yards on just 156 carries, 8.0 yards per carry, nine touchdowns, and a workload split with future second-round pick Javonte Williams. Carter finished his UNC career with 3,404 rushing yards and 21 rushing scores, plus 82 receptions, showcasing the dual-threat profile the modern NFL wanted. At his March pro day he measured 5'8", 201 pounds and ran a 4.50 forty with a 34-inch vertical, a 119-inch broad, a 6.81 three-cone and a 3.98 shuttle — a 9.17 RAS that quieted the "just a small back" concern. Consensus boards had him graded in the Day 2/early Day 3 range as a rotational scat-back with returner value.

**NFL fit — New York Jets.** The team selected Carter at 107 to pair with a young Zach Wilson offense, betting on the receiving-back component and the third-down projection. He hit early: 639 rushing yards, 325 receiving yards and five total touchdowns as a rookie behind an unstable line, plus a 172-yard game against Houston that hinted at a bigger role. Then the Jets drafted Breece Hall in 2022 and Carter's ceiling reset to complementary. When Hall tore his ACL that October, Carter got the reins but the production stalled — 4.0 YPC on limited creases — and by 2023 he was a rotational piece behind Hall and Dalvin Cook.

**Retrospective.** The Jets waived Carter in October 2023 and Arizona claimed him off waivers, using him as a rotational back and gadget piece in 2024–2025 behind James Conner and Trey Benson. Viewed as a Day 3 pick, 107 was a reasonable outcome: a productive rookie year, real receiving value, and a persistent NFL job — but not the every-down back the counting stats sometimes suggested he could become.

Draft Sickos · retrospective scouting profile