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Retrospective scouting report · Class of 2021Consensus #024
DE· Round 1

Kwity
Paye.

Kwity Paye
Sickos Grade
80.6/100
Pre-draft #24

Michigan official athletic logoMichigan· 6'2"· 261 lb· 4.52s 40

/ Recruiting profile
★★★☆☆stars.8728
National · #481HS class · 2017
Bishop Hendricken, RI
247Sports composite via CFBD
R1 · #21 · Indianapolis Colts

"The safest edge in a class without an edge who is genuinely safe. Power, hand technique, and a run-defense floor already in place before the pass-rush plan is even drawn up."Pre-draft read

01Play style

He primarily aligns as a 4-3 base end, winning with first-step quickness, hand fighting, and an interior bull rush, leveraging his muscular frame to overpower offensive linemen. He functions as a reliable run-defense edge-setter, demonstrating effective tackle-to-tackle pursuit and functional burst. He plays with excellent leverage and hand placement, setting a firm C-gap and rarely getting displaced.

His pass-rush technique often relies on speed-to-power, lacking diverse counter moves or refined chop-swim and cross-chop. He is a straight-line arc rusher, limited by bend and ankle flexibility, causing him to round the top of the rush rather than turning tightly to the quarterback. His motor and pursuit angles are evident on film, consistently working through whistles and finishing plays.

02Scheme fit
Ideal system

Indianapolis will deploy a one-gap 4-3 attacking front, emphasizing aggressive upfield play from the defensive line.

Wide-9 DE5-tech DELeft Defensive End
Best role

Year 1 impact as a versatile pass-rushing and run-stuffing defensive end, with the ceiling to become a perennial Pro Bowl edge presence.

Wrong fit

A passive two-gap 3-4 scheme that asks him to read and react to blocks rather than aggressively penetration.

Paye's elite athletic traits, power, and high motor make him an ideal fit for an attacking 4-3 system where he can disrupt from day one.

03Film room

Top 33 Plays of Michigan DE Kwity Paye — Big Ten Football

Kwity Paye Michigan 2021 Pro Day Highlights

From Liberia's Civil War to the NFL — Kwity Paye's Life Saving Journey

04The evaluation

As an edge prospect, he projects as a power-first base end with an NFL-starter floor, noted for his reliable run defense and overall functional strength. His athletic profile, highlighted by a 4.52 forty-yard dash at 261 pounds, indicates rare acceleration and closing burst, suggesting he possesses the physical tools to contend with NFL tackles.

He emerged as a significant contributor for Michigan over four years, rotating in 2017-18 before becoming a starter in 2019, where he recorded 6.5 sacks and 12.5 tackles for loss. His 2020 season was abbreviated to four games, which provided a limited sample of tape. Despite concerns about a nuanced pass-rush plan, his on-field usage showcased his ability to disrupt against the run and to generate pressure through power.

Pre-draft consensus placed him as a mid-first-round selection, with evaluators acknowledging his high floor but also noting concerns regarding his bend, pass-rush hand plan, and modest 2020 production. He was selected 21st overall by Indianapolis, a move that reflected a preference for a player with a high probability of becoming a consistent starter, even if his ceiling was viewed as less explosive than some of his peers.

05Strengths
  1. 01

    Rare Athleticism

    Exhibits rare acceleration and closing burst, confirmed by a 4.52 forty-yard dash at 261 pounds, impacting play consistently.

  2. 02

    Power First Approach

    Leverages heavy hands and a bull rush to convert speed to power, effectively collapsing the pocket and moving quarterbacks.

  3. 03

    Run Defense Anchor

    Functions as a run-defense anchor, demonstrating excellent leverage and hand placement to set the edge effectively.

  4. 04

    Relentless Motor

    Exhibits a relentless motor and effort, with pursuit angles and backside hustle evident on tape, finishing plays.

  5. 05

    Team Captain

    Displays strong character and makeup by serving as a team captain, showing elite work habits and film study.

06Concerns
  1. 01

    Undeveloped Pass-Rush Plan

    Pass-rush plan is in development, often defaulting to speed-to-power without a reliable secondary counter move.

  2. 02

    Limited Bend and Flexibility

    Limited bend and ankle flexibility hinder his ability to flatten the corner, resulting in a rounded arc and less interior pressure.

  3. 03

    Modest Sack Production

    Modest career sack production of 11.5 in a run-first collegiate defense raises questions about consistent QB impact.

  4. 04

    Inconsistent Hand Usage

    Hand usage timing can be inconsistent, with punches arriving late or off-target, allowing linemen to control effectively.

07Athletic testing
Height
6'2"
Weight
261 lb
40 yd
4.52s
Vertical
35.3"
Broad
9'10"
Bench
36
06Athletic profilevs. DE on Big Board
40VERTBRD3CSHTLBNCH

— — — positional median (p50)

40 yd
4.52sp50
Vertical
35.3inp50
Broad jump
118inp50
Three-cone
s
Shuttle
s
Bench
36repp50
08College production
YrTeamGTklSkIntPDFF
2017Michigan941000
2018Michigan13272010
2019Michigan12506.5000
2020Michigan4132000
Career389411.5010

A dash means the figure is not published by a source we trust — never a zero we invented.

09Pro comparisons
/ Likely outcome
Adrian ClaybornAtlanta Falcons

Strong, useful base end who wins with effort, power and run defense, with enough rush to matter in rotation.

/ Ceiling
Everson GriffenMinnesota Vikings

Explosive, powerful edge with enough inside/outside usage to become a long-term pressure producer if the rush plan matures.

/ Floor
Kevin DoddTennessee Titans

Traits and frame look the part, but limited counters and finishing can leave the production below the first-round investment.

10In hindsight

Everything above is the pre-draft evaluation. This section is what actually happened — updated year over year.

Pro Bowls
0
All-Pro
0
Seasons
4
Career AV
26

2021 (rookie, IND): 4 sacks, 30 tackles in 15 games, PFF grade 68 — solid All-Rookie. 2022: 3 sacks in 12 games, ankle injury, PFF 68. 2023: 8.5 sacks in 15 games, PFF grade 78 — pass-rusher breakthrough. 2024: 8 sacks, 43 pressures, 3-year/$51M extension in March 2024. 2025 (IND): consistent season as top EDGE, 6 sacks at midseason. Career_av: 26.

Paye is the "safe" edge of the 2021 class and the pre-draft evaluation was extraordinarily calibrated: mid-1st round consensus with an NFL-starter floor and a ceiling that stops short of top-15 EDGE. Four years at Michigan gave a complete sample — 2017-18 rotation, 2019 breakout with 6.5 sacks and 12.5 TFL as first-team All-Big Ten, and an abbreviated 2020 season (4 games, 0 sacks, frustrating tape thanks to rotation with Aidan Hutchinson and a microscopic sample). His March 2021 pro day confirmed the athleticism: 4.52 forty at 261 lbs, 34.25" arms, 4.29 shuttle — RAS 9.85, top-5 EDGE in the class. Muscular frame with an NFL-elite first-step and an interior bull rush that in the Big Ten produced consistently against big tackles. Reliable edge-setter vs. run, functional sideline-to-sideline chase-and-tackle. The personal story — refugee family from Liberia during the civil war, first in the family to attend university, legendary work ethic — reinforced the character floor.

The pre-draft bear case was equally honest and has been almost literally validated. Raw hand plan without the refined chop-swim and cross-chop that Jaelan Phillips brought to Miami. Average bend that doesn't win the corner with dip-and-rip. Underdeveloped counters when the first move fails. Five NFL seasons have confirmed the read: Paye is the edge who won the floor but never crossed to the ceiling.

Rookie 2021: 4 sacks, 30 tackles in 15 games, PFF grade 68 — solid All-Rookie. 2022: 3 sacks in 12 games, ankle injury, PFF 68. 2023: 8.5 sacks in 15 games — pass-rusher breakthrough year, first 8+ season. 2024: 8 sacks, 43 pressures, 3-year/$51M extension in March 2024 before the season. 2025: consistent season as IND's top EDGE, 6 sacks at midseason.

The likely comp was always early-career Trey Hendrickson — productive, reliable EDGE without the leap to star — and that comp has been hit precisely. The high Everson Griffen never arrived because Paye never found the hand plan Griffen developed as a pass rusher. It's exactly what an organization sought at #21: a multi-year starter floor with worthy production and no bust risk. A clean evaluation.

Draft Sickos · retrospective scouting profile